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Adani Group stocks have best day since February 8



MUMBAI: After plummeting almost unabated for more than a month, eight of 10 Adani Group shares made a strong recovery on Tuesday with the flagship Adani Enterprises rallying over 14%. Only two stocks – Adani Total Gas and Adani Transmission – closed lower, locked at the 5% circuit, BSE data showed.
The day’s rally added a little over Rs 30,000 crore to the group’s combined market capitalisation, or about 4.4%, its best day in terms of addition to its market value since February 8, BSE data collated by TOI showed. At the close of trade, the group’s total market cap was Rs 7.1 lakh crore.
All the 10 stocks within the Gujarat-headquartered ports-to-FMCG conglomerate have been losing their value since January 25, a day after US-based short-seller Hindenburg Research published a detailed report alleging stock manipulation, accounting fraud and corporate malfeasance by the group. Although Adani Group denied all allegations in the report, the hammering of its stocks on the bourses has been nearly relentless ever since. On a point-to-point basis, the total loss in market value has been Rs 12.1 lakh crore, translating into about $146 billion.
The gain in Adani stock prices came a day after the group’s top officials made presentations to a host of global investors in Hong Kong. The group is scheduled to meet institutional investors from across the globe over three days ending Wednesday, trying to assuage them that the allegations made by Hindenburg were incorrect and will not have any impact on its business.
LIC reverses slide, up 2%
The stock price of life insurance major LIC that was under pressure for its exposure to Adani Group’s stocks, on Tuesday closed 1.9% higher as most of the stocks from the Gujarat-based conglomerate rallied despite a weak market. On Monday, LIC had touched an all-time low level at Rs 566. On Tuesday it closed at Rs 578.





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Amid 2008 meltdown, how short-selling survived a ban


Many referred to the Adani-Hindenburg Research affair as a ‘Lehman moment’. The allegations by a self-confessed ‘short seller’, the US-based Hindenburg Research, of the Adani Group’s “brazen stock manipulation and accounting fraud” continue to rattle the share prices of the conglomerate’s companies. It has kept the investors, regulators, the government and the judiciary, engaged all this while.

The share prices of the Adani Group companies had jumped dramatically over the last two years, but few paid any attention. Mutual funds, strangely, ignored to even partake in this wealth creation opportunity. Top fund managers couldn’t fathom why and how share prices of these companies were rising, touching astronomical valuations. But then, there was the country’s biggest domestic institutional investor, the state-owned insurer LIC, which acquired shares in five Adani companies continuously over the last nine quarters till December 2022.

The jury is still out on whether the Adani-Hindenburg Research affair is a Lehman moment. In the classical sense, it is not. The broad-based markets in India didn’t witness any pressure when Adani stocks tanked. The collapse of Adani is not a systemic risk, it doesn’t bring down the Indian financial sector; even for LIC, the exposure to Adani is less than 1 per cent of its portfolio. Will there be more unravelling in this case? Nobody is sure.

Well, this is not about the Adani Group or Hindenburg Research. This is about ‘short selling’ and how it triggered a massive debate in India after the real Lehman moment on September 15, 2008, caused a global financial crisis that spilled over to the real economy. ‘Short selling’ is an accepted practice worldwide – investors or traders borrow shares and sell in the belief that prices will fall. If prices do fall, they buy it back at a lower price, and pocket the profit.

In its report, Hindenburg Research was transparent and said it held short positions in Adani Group companies through US-traded bonds and non-Indian-traded derivatives. There are believers of its position in the US and other markets, and those who don’t. Back home in India, after prices of Adani shares plunged, the political opposition raised a hue and cry given Adani’s perceived proximity to the ruling political leadership. The Reserve Bank of India stepped in to reassure that the banking system was safe and resilient. The capital markets regulator, Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi), too, said it is probing the Adani stock volatility.

But 15 years ago, when the real Lehman moment happened, many prominent persons in India Inc wanted Sebi to ban short selling, arguing it led to huge market manipulation. The ban, they claimed, would prevent a free fall in the stock markets. The Lehman collapse had indeed left stock markets anxious in India. In less than two months – between September 8, 2008, and November 6, 2008 – the Nifty 50 index had dropped over 35 per cent, from 4,482 points to 2,892 points.

Clearly, there were more bears than bulls. But some argued that manipulators were rife, and were systematically pushing the markets down. In fact, NDTV Profit ran shows in October that year that Sebi was not acting tough enough on short selling by FIIs. Why should it not ban lending and borrowing of shares overseas using an instrument called participatory notes, the news channel asked.

It was under such circumstances that a ban on short selling was discussed at the highest levels – the Prime Minister’s Office – in the government. Many private sector big guns wanted the government to curb market freedoms. And strangely enough, bureaucrats and the political executive fought for reforms, and stood the ground.

What triggered the demand was a sharp fall in ICICI Bank shares – from about Rs 1,231 in January 2008, it had plunged to Rs 364 on October 10, 2008. There was a rumour of ICICI Bank ATMs running out of cash in a southern city. It didn’t help that the bank, seen as the most aggressive lender then, was borrowing at high rates of 20 per cent to meet its short-term needs. K V Kamath, the CEO of ICICI Bank, blamed it on manipulation and rumour-mongering. He spoke to then Sebi chief CB Bhave and officials in the Union Finance Ministry.

The pressure of some channels, including NDTV, Kamath and other private sector honchos reached the doors of then Union Finance Minister P Chidambaram who summoned his key officers. “Why shouldn’t it be banned?” he is learnt to have asked them.

Sebi’s Bhave had already made strong technical arguments against banning, but it was Joint Secretary K P Krishnan’s plain and simple English that won the argument. “You have very high fever. There are two options. One, take a paracetamol and sleep it through. Two, break the thermometer, and do not acknowledge you have a fever.”

Chidambaram took them to then Prime Minister Manmohan Singh’s residence the same weekend. Here, the finance ministry officials argued against the ban and pointed out that it was ironic that those lobbying from the private sector for this seemingly regressive move were the same folks who chastised the government then for its baby steps on financial sector liberalisation. Manmohan Singh was amused — he had learnt a fresh lesson on India’s political economy.





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Hum Adani ke Hain Kaun: Congress targets PM Modi over Hindenburg report, minister hits back | India News


NEW DELHI: Both the houses of Parliament were adjourned for the third consecutive day on Monday without transacting hardly any business over the situation having arisen out of the report published by American research organisation and short-seller Hindenburg about the shares of Adani Enterprises Ltd (AEL).

The opposition led by the Congress created pandemonium in both the Lok Sabha and the Rajya Sabha and disrupted the proceedings. This forced the presiding officers of both the houses to adjourn Parliament’s business for another day.
Alleging a scam in the shares of AEL, the opposition has been demanding a probe by a joint parliamentary committee (JPC) into the whole matter.
Parliamentary affairs minister Pralhad Joshi took to Twitter to vent out the government’s sentimets against the opposition, particularly the Congress, over the continued disruption of Parliament.
In a series of tweets, the minister said, “Classic case of sounding more loyal than the king! The facts are – Congress is least interested in letting Parliament run. They are least bothered about pro-people legislation being brought and they detest the historic productivity of Parliament under the Modi government.”

He alleged that In the last nine years, the Congress had disrespected all parliamentary traditions. “Their leaders prefer holidays abroad instead of attending Parliament. They have even insulted the Hon’ble President when most of their top leadership preferred to stay away from her address to both houses.”
Joshi charged the Congress with shying away from letting Parliament run. He said the Congress feared that the government would get praise for a “development-oriented” Budget and which they did not want that to happen. It was better the Congress showed some concern for tax payers’ money and let Parliament function, he said, adding that the issues being raised by the Congress have been spoken about by finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman repeatedly.
Finally, Joshi said, “Today, it is being globally acknowledged that India is a bright spot in the world economy. Congress isn’t able to digest this and thus prefers petty politics.”

The minister was responding to Rajya Sabha MP and Congress’s in-charge of communications Jairam Ramesh’s remarks about the adjournment of Parliament. “Yet again for the third day in a row, the Opposition (was) not allowed to even mention in Parliament its legitimate demand for JPC into PM-linked Adani MahaMegaScam. Adjourned till 2pm. Modi government is simply running away!”
Ramesh retorted to the parliamentary affairs minister. He said, “Surely you can do better than this, Minister avare. Fact is (the) opposition is not being allowed to even mention at 11 am its demand – a JPC into PM-linked Adani MahaMegaScam.”
Meanwhile, Ramesh has launched a campaign called HAHK (Hum Adani ke Hain Kaun) to target the Modi government. He announced that he would be asking three questions to Prime Minister Narendra Modi over the matter. The title of the drive has been derived from a 1994 Salman Khan-Madhuri Dixit starring Bollywood movie Hum Aapke Hain Kaun.
On Sunday, he said, “The eloquent silence of the PM on the Adani MahaMegaScam has forced us to start a series, HAHK – Hum Adani ke Hain Kaun. We will be posing three questions to the PM daily beginning today. Here are the first three. Chuppi Todiye Pradhan Mantriji (Break your silence prime minister).”

Ramesh issued a statement on Sunday and asked the first three questions to the PM. He said in response to the Panama Papers expose on April 4, 2016, the ministry of finance announced that the PM had personally directed a multi-agency investigative group to monitor financial flows to and from offshore tax havens.
Subsequently, Ramesh said, at the G20 summit in Hangzhou, China on September 5, 2016, the PM stated: “We need to act to eliminate safe havens for economic offenders, track down and unconditionally extradite money launderers and break down the web of complex international regulations and excessive banking secrecy that hide the corrupt and their deeds.”

“Investigation should be done” says Congress MP Jairam Ramesh on Adani group stocks

He said this led to some questions that the PM could not hide from. “Vinod Adani, the brother of Gautam Adani, was named in the Panama Papers and the Pandora Papers as someone who operates offshore entities in the Bahamas and the British Virgin Islands. He is alleged to have engaged in ‘brazen stock manipulation’ and ‘accounting fraud’ via ‘a vast labyrinth of offshore shell entities’. You have spoken often about your sincerity and ‘niyat’ in fighting corruption and even subjected the nation to the heavy costs of demonetisation. What does the fact that a business entity you are well acquainted with faces serious allegations tell us about the quality and sincerity of your investigations?” Ramesh’s first question said.
His second question said: “Over the years you have misused agencies like the Enforcement Directorate, Central Bureau of Investigation and the Directorate of Revenue Intelligence to intimidate your political opponents and to punish business houses that do not fall in line with your cronies’ financial interests. What action has been taken, if ever, to investigate the serious allegations made over the years against the Adani Group? Is there any hope of a fair and impartial investigation under you?”
In the third question, the Congress MP said, “How is it possible that one of India’s largest business groups, one that has been allowed to build monopolies in airports and seaports, could have escaped serious scrutiny for so long despite persistent allegations? Other business groups have been harassed and raided for much less. Was the Adani Group essential to a dispensation that has profited from ‘anti- corruption’ rhetoric all of these years?”
On Monday, the head of Congress’s media again asked three questions to the PM, calling it HAHK-2.

His first question said, “Your government has a track record of bailing out failing disinvestments such as IDBI Bank, New India Assurance and General Insurance Corporation using LIC funds. It’s one thing to bail out public sector companies and quite another to use the savings of 30 crore loyal policy- holders to enrich your friends. How did LIC make such a heavy allocation to the risky Adani Group that even private fund managers had steered clear of? Is it not the duty of the government to ensure that vital public sector financial institutions are more conservative in their investments than their private sector counterparts? Or was this another case of your ‘Mann Ki Banking’ to benefit your cronies?”
In the second question, the Congress general secretary said, “The allegations of fraud and money-laundering against the Adani Group have been known for some time. There have been many questions over who are the ultimate beneficial owners of major funds investing in the Adani Group. There have been as many as four major fraud investigations including one by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) into the true ownership of its offshore investors. Given this knowledge, did anyone in the Prime Minister’s Office, ministry of finance or the LIC itself raise any concerns about these questionable investments? Were such concerns overruled and, if so, by whom?”

Adani row: Opposition parties hold protest inside Parliament premises, demand JPC probe

Ramesh’s final question said, “After the first selloff following the Hindenburg allegations, the value of Adani Group stocks held by LIC fell by Rs 32,000 crore, bringing the value of those holdings to Rs 56,142 crore on January 27, 2023 by LIC’s own admission. Since then several Adani infrastructure stocks have further crashed by another 50%. Will you share the true extent of LIC’s losses from its Adani investments after January 24? The listed price of LIC itself has fallen by 14% in the last two weeks compared with a dip of 2% in the Nifty50 index. As LIC’s misguided Adani investments are eroding the confidence of its 34 lakh retail shareholders, What steps will you take to ease their concerns?”
While the government has not responded to these questions yet, the opposition led by the Congress is unlikely to allow the ongoing budget session to function to press for its demands for a JPC into the AEL controversy.





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Adani row: Congress to launch nationwide protests outside LIC, SBI office on Monday


Congress said that the protest would be carried out as the Opposition was not given “even a minute” to raise the Adani issue in Parliament.

New Delhi,UPDATED: Feb 5, 2023 23:55 IST

Congress to stage protests outside SBI banks in Delhi on Monday. (Representational Image)

By India Today Web Desk: Against the backdrop of the controversy about the Adani Group over allegations of financial irregularities and market manipulation, Congress has called for nationwide protests outside State Bank of India (SBI) branches and Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) offices on Monday. The party’s youth wing is also slated to organise a demonstration on the issue in Delhi outside the banks located at Parliament police station.

While Congress MPs will protest near the Gandhi statue inside Parliament, as per news agency ANI.

The announcement came a day after Congress general secretary KC Venugopal said the party will stage a nationwide protest in front of LIC and SBI offices across the country on February 6. In Parliament, the Opposition alleged that the recent fluctuation in Adani Group shares is a scam that involves common people’s money as public sector LIC and SBI have invested in them.

ALSO READ | Committed to ensuring market integrity, measures in place to address volatility: Sebi

Congress said that the protest would be carried out as the Opposition was not given “even a minute” to raise the Adani issue in Parliament.

The grand old party sought answers from the government, alleging that the Modi government’s “loud silence” over the issue “smacks of collusion”.

Adani group stocks have taken a beating in the Indian share market after a US-based short-seller firm, Hindenburg Research, made a litany of allegations against the conglomerate, including fraudulent transactions and share price

The conglomerate’s share prices plunged, losing more than half of its market value since Hindenburg Research levelled allegations pertaining to tax havens, laundering and stock manipulation.

ALSO READ | ‘Hum Adani ke hain kaun’: Congress questions PM Modi’s silence on Adani Group stock rout



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Inside the 19-hour meltdown that junked Gautam Adani’s share sale



NEW DELHI: A beaming Gautam Adani stood beside Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday, looking relaxed as hundreds of people gathered for the ceremonial signing at the Haifa Port, which the Indian billionaire is co-developing.
The 60-year-old tycoon had reason to be buoyant: last-minute bids had helped the flagship of his ports-to-power empire close a record $2.5 billion share sale despite a searing short seller attack that triggered a stock rout. As he headed home from Tel Aviv at 6:13 pm local time in his Bombardier Global 6500 private jet — a relatively-new acquisition with super-speedy wireless connectivity — the industrialist spent a lot of time in the quietest part of the flight cabin on marathon calls.
But the brutal sell off in Adani Group stocks continued on Wednesday, February 1, wiping out market value of more than $80 billion in a week — despite the supposed successful conclusion to the share sale.
Anxious investors started calling Adani’s finance team to express concerns, according to people familiar with the events who did not want to be named as the discussions were private.
Headwinds building
One of them was the Royal Group, the parent company of Abu Dhabi’s International Holding Co, which nudged the conglomerate to reconsider Adani Enterprises Ltd’s share sale, one of the people said.
By Wednesday afternoon, a state-run financial institution — also one of the anchor investors in the follow-on offer — said it won’t support the group further. Earlier in the day, opposition parties had heckled the Narendra Modi government in parliament, chanting “Adani, Adani” during the Union Budget speech. The tycoon often tailors his corporate strategy to Modi’s nation-building priorities.
Sometime around 5pm in India on Wednesday, Adani asked for an emergency board meeting to be convened in 30 minutes. The share sale was being scrapped. At 10:21 pm in India, the filing had hit local stock exchanges, marking a dramatic U-turn.
In barely 19 hours, India’s biggest ever follow-on share sale had gone from being a done deal to a dud.
Representatives for Royal Group, IHC and Adani Group didn’t immediately respond to written requests for comment outside of office hours.
Protecting relationships
Adani chose to forgo the short-term victory of nailing the follow-on offer to protect his longer term relationships with marquee investors who otherwise were staring at some embarrassing mark-to-market losses on the sums they had committed.
And in that one fell swoop, the US based short seller Hindenburg Research, which had published a scathing report on January 24, claimed its biggest casualty yet.
In its explosive broadside, Hindenburg had accused Adani’s conglomerate of “brazen” fraud and years of stock market manipulation, money laundering, as well as other alleged crimes that it labeled as “the largest con in corporate history.”
Adani Group hit back saying the report was “bogus,” “maliciously mischievous” and threatened legal action.
In its 413-page Sunday rebuttal, it called Hindenburg’s report and its short bet a “calculated securities fraud” as well as an attack on India and its institutions.
Three days later, its share sale had unraveled amid the fracas.
Dejected attendees
One dejected attendee of Adani’s emergency Wednesday meeting said all it took was an attack from a small short seller to destroy years of hard work in just a week.
A veteran dealmaker aiding the share-sale process said he had never seen an equity offering canceled in this fashion over a nearly two-decade career.
But the sense of relief among major investors was palpable. State-run Life Insurance Corporation of India Ltd, which is a shareholder in five Adani Group companies, deemed the decision a gesture of good corporate governance, according to people familiar.
That’s how Adani sold it, too. Addressing investors in a video early Thursday to explain the abrupt volte-face, he said: “For me, the interest of my investors is paramount and everything is secondary.”
He added that he wanted to insulate them from losses. “Despite the volatility in the stock over the last week, your faith and belief in the company, its business and its management has been extremely reassuring and humbling, for all of us.”
The selloff, however, continued. By Friday, half the value of the conglomerate, or more than $110 billion, had evaporated since the Hindenburg report’s release.
The impact on India’s broader market was also huge. As of Thursday, the rupee had fallen against all its Asian peers over the period, while the spreads on an index of bonds in the nation expanded to the widest level in four weeks.
Distancing itself
The ripple effects prompted Modi’s government — perceived to have close ties with Adani — to begin publicly addressing and distancing itself from the scandal-hit conglomerate. Although Adani’s interests from ports to energy are inextricably intertwined with the nation’s growth plans, government officials talked down its impact on the wider economy.
“It is between one private company, and the regulator and the market; It doesn’t concern the macroeconomy,” TV Somanathan, the finance secretary, said in an interview Thursday. “The exposure of banks, LIC to Adani is not worrying at all. I don’t see any contagion risk on this.”
The arrangers of Adani enterprise’s scrapped equity offering have had to reconcile themselves to minuscule fees and are scrambling to recover what they can from what was supposed to be a mega follow-on share sale. The bulk of the $12 million that investment banks were set to earn was contingent on the success of the deal, people with knowledge of the matter said. They’re now expecting only minimal compensation for their work on the offering.
As the turbulent week drew to a close, the embattled tycoon entered talks with creditors to prepay some loans backed by pledged shares, as some banks stopped accepting the securities of the group as collateral.
“The dust is not yet settled,” Alok Churiwala, managing director of Mumbai-based Churiwala Securities Pvt, said on Thursday. “One has to be very watchful and investors would be well advised not to tinker with Adani stocks till there is clarity on the way forward.”





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