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Stock market today: BSE Sensex up almost 400 points; Nifty50 above 22,300



Stock market today: BSE Sensex and Nifty50, the Indian equity benchmark indices, rose in early trade on Thursday. While BSE Sensex was up over 390 points, Nifty50 was above 22,300. At 9:25 AM, BSE Sensex was trading at 73,377.62, up 391 points or 0.54%. Nifty50 was at 22,316.90, up 116 points or 0.52%.
The Indian equity markets experienced resistance at higher levels on Wednesday, leading to a paring of initial gains.Analysts attributed the pressure on the markets to persistent selling by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and elevated India VIX levels. Siddhartha Khemka, Head – Retail Research at Motilal Oswal Financial, expects the market to consolidate within a broader range as the election polling progresses and the result season approaches its end.
Nagaraj Shetti, Senior Technical Research Analyst at HDFC Securities, suggests that a sustainable move above the immediate resistance of 22300 levels could open the doors for a higher target of 22600 levels in the near term, with immediate support at 22070 levels.
Wall Street’s three major indexes achieved record closes on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq advancing more than 1% after a smaller-than-expected rise in consumer inflation bolstered hopes for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
Asian equities followed suit, tracking gains on Wall Street as the latest US inflation data reinforced bets for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. The dollar slipped to multi-month lows after U.S. core inflation hit its slowest in three years and retail sales turned flat, strengthening the argument for rate cuts in the world’s largest economy. Oil prices extended gains from the previous session on signs of stronger demand in the U.S.
Several stocks are in the F&O ban period today, including Vodafone Idea, Birla Soft, ZEE, Balrampur Chini Mills, GMR Infra, SAIL, Hindustan Copper, PEL, PNB, Granules, India Cements, and LIC Housing Finance.
FIIs were net sellers at Rs 2,832 crore on Wednesday, while DIIs bought shares worth Rs 3,788 crore. The rupee rose 5 paise to settle at 83.46 against the US dollar on Wednesday, supported by weakness in the greenback against major crosses overseas. The net short position of FIIs increased from Rs 2.13 lakh crore on Tuesday to Rs 2.45 lakh crore on Wednesday.
Companies such as M&M, HAL, GAIL, Info Edge, Vodafone Idea, and Biocon, among others, are set to announce their fourth quarter earnings on Thursday.

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Not a merger with Sahara Life, just transfer of policyholders: SBI Life



SBI Life, a subsidiary of country’s biggest lender State Bank of India (SBI), has said it is not a merger between the two companies but only a transfer of the policyholder related assets and liabilities of Sahara Life Insurance.


On Friday regulator Irdai directed SBI Life Insurance to takeover the policy liabilities of around two lakh policies along with assets of stressed Sahara India Life Insurance Co Ltd (SILIC).


The decision was taken at the meeting of the Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India (Irdai) in view of deteriorating financial health of the SILIC.


Following the Irdai order, SBI Life assured two lakh policyholders of “high levels” of service and commitment as is accorded to our customers.


“We have started and we are expeditiously working on the process of integrating all these policyholders in our systems. While the full integration may take some time, we request these policyholders to reach out to us on our helpline number 1800 267 9090 or email us at saharalife@sbilife.co.in,” it said

SBI Life will shortly reach out to these policyholders and intimate them about various touch points and manner of servicing for a smooth transition, it said.


Sahara Life Insurance was also not allowed to underwrite new business. Thereafter, further directions were issued to the insurer to meet the regulatory requirements.


“Despite being provided ample opportunities and sufficient time to ensure compliances, SILIC has failed to comply with directions of the authority and take any affirmative steps to protect the interests of its policyholders,” the regulator had said.


Further, the policy data of SILIC reveals that the company’s portfolio is showing run-off trend. The financial position has been deteriorating with rising losses and higher percentage of claims to total premium.


“If the trend is allowed to continue, the situation will worsen and lead to erosion of capital and SILIC may not be able to discharge its liabilities towards policyholders, thereby endangering the interest of its policyholders,” Irdai had said.


It said the action against SILIC has been taken after due consideration of all the facts and circumstances.


The authority added in its meeting held on June 2, 2023 that the action was warranted to protect the interest of the policyholders of SILIC.


Further, Irdai said it will continue to monitor the situation and also issue necessary directions as required in the interest of the policyholders of SILIC.

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)



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One year on: LIC shares still trading at 40% discount to IPO price, while Sensex up 14%


A year after Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) listed its shares on the stock exchanges, shares of the country’s biggest insurer are still quoting at 40 per cent discount to the initial public offering (IPO) price of Rs 949 per share.

LIC shares closed at Rs 567.40 on the BSE on Tuesday. During the past years, the BSE Sensex shot up by 14 per cent from — 54,318.47 on May 17, 2022 to 61,932.47 on May 16, 2023.

On May 17, 2022, LIC shares started trading at Rs 867.20 – at a discount of 8.62 per cent – on the BSE as against the issue price of Rs 949 per share, disappointing investors. The share has not recovered after the listing a year ago even though LIC is a market leader in an under-penetrated Indian life insurance market.

“The stock has been in free fall since its listing due to multiple headwinds like weak market conditions, the Adani-Hindenburg row and changes in tax policy,” said Cyril Charly, Research Analyst at Geojit Financial Services.
However, LIC is not alone in disappointing investors as a host of new age IPOs like Paytm, Cartrade Tech, PB Fintech, Nykaa and Star Health and Allied Insurance are trading at a discount to their IPO prices.

Though market regulator Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has since then tightened IPO disclosure norms, the IPO market is yet to recover from the valuation shock suffered by investors. However, analysts are optimistic about the LIC valuations.

“The management has emphasized increasing the share of non-participating policies in the portfolio mix, driving profitability. We expect LIC to have minimal impact on the tax implications due to its versatile client mix. The stock is currently trading at an appealing valuation, exhibiting a substantial discount compared to its industry peers.

While near-term performance may be shackled by sectoral uncertainties, long-term investors can anticipate a favourable return,” Charly said.

LIC’s value of holding in Adani group companies had fallen below the purchase price of Rs 30,127 crore in February this year when US-based Hindenburg Research came out with various allegations against the Adani group and market valuations of group companies plummeted.

“We believe there is a huge market as far as ‘Insuring the Uninsured’ is concerned. This will not only create opportunities for LIC but also for the other related entities like HDFC Life, ICICI Prudential and SBI Life. There might be a slight deceleration in growth due to the concerns outlined in the Budget by the Union Finance Minister. However, considering the long-term perspective, it remains a sound investment,” said an analyst with a leading broking firm.

LIC’s consolidated net profit rose sharply to Rs 8,334 crore in the third quarter as against Rs 235 crore in the same period a year ago as premium income improved and it moved Rs 5,670 crore to its shareholders’ fund to shore up its net worth.

While LIC’s IPO had received good response from policyholders, foreign investors were not very enthusiastic about the offer.

Bids from foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) were to the tune of Rs 2,291 crore in the main book and they also invested Rs 555 crore in the anchor book. LIC had offered a discount of Rs 60 for policyholders and Rs 45 for retail investors and employees. LIC’s market capitalisation which was at Rs 6 lakh crore at the IPO price of Rs 949 has now fallen to Rs 358,880 crore.

The government was earlier keen on launching the LIC IPO in March 2022 to meet its revised disinvestment target for the fiscal 2022-23. The issue size was delayed and cut from the earlier proposed Rs 65,000 crore after Russia attacked Ukraine and foreign investors started pulling out funds in the wake of rate hike plans of the US Federal Reserve, sending financial markets into a tizzy.





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As Fed hints at softening, markets rise 1%, gold rallies to record high


Domestic equity markets surged around one per cent Thursday tracking Asian stock markets after the US Federal Reserve hinted at softening its rate hike stance.

On Wednesday, the US central bank raised its benchmark overnight interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to the 5-5.25 range, as expected by financial markets, but in doing so dropped from its policy statement language saying that it “anticipates” further rate increases would be needed.

The 30-share BSE Sensex rose 556 points, or 0.91 per cent, to end at 61,749.25 on Thursday. The broader Nifty surged by 166 points, or 0.92 per cent, to finish at 18,255.8.

Gold prices rallied to a record high of Rs 61,412 per 10 grams on a possible rate hike pause by the US Federal Reserve in its next meeting, analysts said.

“Following a widely expected rate hike by the Fed and consistent foreign support, the domestic equities resumed their bullish momentum, driven by gains across major sectors,” Geojit Financial Services Head of Research Vinod Nair said.

Kotak Securities Ltd Head of Equity Research (Retail) Shrikant Chouhan said with India’s growth indicators showing good signs of revival and crude oil prices staying lower, investors are betting big on local equities even as a haze over global economic growth persists.

Market participants said the surge in gold prices was supported by weakness in the dollar as investors bought gold on safe-haven appeal amid rising risks of recession in the US.

The positive sentiments among investors triggered a fresh bout of buying in banking stocks.

Bank Nifty index rose 372.75 points, or 0.86 per cent, to end at 43,685.45.

The top gainers on Nifty 50 were Adani Enterprises, Bajaj Finance, HDFC Ltd, SBI Life Insurance and HDFC Bank while the top losers were IndusInd Bank, Nestle, Power Grid and ITC.

Foreign portfolio investors (FPI) net bought Rs 1,414.73 crore of shares from the domestic market, according to the BSE’s provisional data

Market participants said the surge in gold prices was supported by weakness in the dollar as investors bought gold on safe-haven appeal amid rising risks of recession in the US.

“The interest rate decision by the US Fed and the commentary which came after that has led to the rise in gold prices,” Commtrendz Research’s Co-founder and CEO Gnanasekar Thiagarajan said

In FY2023, gold prices jumped by a massive Rs 8,000 in the domestic markets from Rs 52,000 to Rs 60,000 per 10 grams, giving a 15 per cent return.

“Going ahead, gold still looks lucrative in terms of ROI (return on investments) from a safety perspective where the inflation remains high globally and the interest cycle, which is yet to ease, will also provide the push needed for gold to run and give 10-15 per cent return in FY24,” LKP Securities VP (research analyst) Jateen Trivedi said.

He expects gold prices to touch Rs 66,000-Rs 68,000 per 10 grams on base case performance before the end of FY24.

The rupee closed 2 paise up at 81.78 against the US dollar on Thursday as compared to the previous close of 81.80.





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Equity investors turn richer by Rs 16.36 lakh crore in 2022


Dalal Street investors became richer by more than Rs 16.36 lakh crore this year as the equity market scaled new highs despite persistent geopolitical uncertainties and inflation worries.

Analysts attributed better macroeconomic fundamentals, the confidence of retail investors and foreign investors investing again in the domestic equities towards the latter half of 2022 as the key factors that led to the outperformance of the Indian market in comparison to many other stock markets worldwide.

During the initial part of the year, markets were jolted by the Russia-Ukraine war. On February 24, when Russia launched its attack on Ukraine, the 30-share BSE Sensex had plunged about 2,850 points before closing at 54,529.91 points, registering a massive fall of 2,702.15 points or 4.72 per cent.

In subsequent months, the key index recouped the lost ground and has climbed 2,880.06 points or 4.94 per cent this year till December 29.

Sensex touched its all-time high of 63,583.07 points on December 1 after hitting its 52-week low of 50,921.22 points on June 17.

“In 2022, the Indian stock market has gained despite challenges and heavy outflows from risk-averse foreign investors. Domestic institutional flows and resilient fundamentals have supported the market, though certain sectors and stocks have outperformed while others have underperformed.

“The market has demonstrated resilience in the face of geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices,” Suman Bannerjee, CIO of US-based hedge fund Hedonova, said.

The market capitalisation of BSE-listed firms has zoomed Rs 16,36,254.63 crore to Rs 2,82,36,466.18 crore till December 29 this year. On December 29, the Sensex closed at 61,133.88 points.

On December 5, the market capitalisation (m-cap) of BSE-listed firms reached an all-time high of Rs 290.46 lakh crore.

“The macroeconomics of India were in a far better shape than those of the majority of the international markets, which resulted in a notable outperformance of the Indian equity market. Retail investors have also shown great confidence in the Indian economy, where SIP flows have maintained record levels through 2022.

“Due to their feeling of exclusion and the fact that India offered the most stability, FIIs began investing in the Indian equity market in late 2022. All things considered, the market overcame every challenge and finished 2022 in a flat to positive range,” Santosh Meena, Head of Research at Swastika Investmart Ltd, said.

In 2022, five months saw Sensex making overall monthly gains while it was a fall in the remaining seven months.

July turned out to be the most rewarding month for equity investors as the BSE benchmark jumped 4,662.32 points or 8.81 per cent in that month.

“The roller coaster ride is coming to a satisfying end. Initially, 2022 appeared to be a flat year, but it is a good year for the Indian market. Our top indices were at lifetime highs while the majority of the global markets were trading close to their 52-week lows,” Meena said.

Dhiraj Relli, MD & CEO of HDFC Securities, said Indian markets in 2022 benefited out of better management of macros, including inflation management and corporate earnings, that did not disappoint majorly despite challenging times.

This year also saw the listing of LIC, which came out with the largest issue size of Rs 20,557 crore. The insurer, which was listed in May this year, commands a market valuation of Rs 4,32,440.09 crore.

At the close of trading on December 29, Reliance Industries Ltd was the country’s most valued firm with a market valuation of Rs 17,20,156.95 crore, followed by Tata Consultancy Services (Rs 11,96,235.37 crore), HDFC Bank (Rs 9,15,089.79 crore), Infosys (Rs 6,38,576.27 crore) and ICICI Bank (Rs 6,32,576.62 crore) in the top five.

In 2021, equity investors reaped handsome rewards as their wealth grew nearly Rs 78 lakh crore while Sensex gained 10,502.49 points or 21.99 per cent.

“Markets would be eager to start the new year on a positive note after ending December on the weaker side. Q3 results and the upcoming Union Budget could provide fresh positive triggers to the Indian equities,” Siddhartha Khemka, Head – Retail Research at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said.





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Nifty Rises Above 18,000 Points For First Time Since April, But Risks Remain


Stock Market India: Nifty breaches 18,000 points-mark for the first time since April

Indian equity benchmarks rose to a five-month high early on Tuesday, extending their winning streak to the fourth straight session, with the Nifty breaching 18,000-mark for the first time since April as bulls took control amid the brighter mood in global markets, despite domestic inflation rising back up after falling for three months.

Data on Monday showed a double whammy for Asia’s third-largest economy, with industrial output slowing and consumer price index-based inflation surging back to 7 per cent, stalling a three-month downtrend.

The latest inflation data contradicts the Reserve Bank of India’s broad predictions for a slowdown in price pressures and is likely to push the central bank to take a more aggressive rate hike strategy to counter inflation, mirroring the West – even at the cost of economic growth.

More analysts and economist now predict a larger RBI rate hike later this month.  

Still, the NSE Nifty-50 index rose 103.40 points, or 0.58 per cent, to 18,039.75, and the 30-share BSE Sensex index jumped 355.89 points, or 0.59 per cent, to 60,471.02.

According to information available on the BSE, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) invested Rs 2,049.65 crore in domestic shares on Monday.

V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, told PTI that the ongoing market rally is primarily driven by the sudden reversal of FII strategy.

“Retail investor support and fundamental support to the market from a strong economy are aiding the rally. Now, this has become a classic momentum driven market which has the potential to take the indices to new record highs soon,” he said.

Reuters reported that domestic shares climbed to a five-month high, lifted by sharp gains in Bajaj Finserv and HDFC Life Insurance.

Financial services holding company Bajaj Finserv saw a 6.3 per cent increase in value before the record date for a stock split and bonus share issue.

Increasing 4.7 per cent, HDFC Life Insurance Company reached its highest level since June 9. According to Reuters, the British asset management abrdn plc would sell a stake in HDFC Life on Tuesday through a block deal.

“The good news for the markets is that a sliding US dollar is likely to further add to risk appetite,” said Prashanth Tapse, Senior Vice President for Research at Mehta Equities.

“A new bull market could start if the US inflation report, which is expected to be announced in the evening, comes below the streets’ expectation,” he added.

Asian bourses extended the winning momentum from a global stocks rally ahead of key US inflation data, which is predicted to come in softer and show a peak in price pressures in the world’s largest economy.

The Kospi, a stock market index in South Korea, jumped on the global rally bandwagon after a holiday and led a 0.6 per cent rise in MSCI’s largest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside of Japan. Nikkei in Japan added 0.3 per cent.

After the S&P 500 had its greatest four-day run since June on Monday as a result of strong pre-order for Apple’s iPhone 14 Pro Max, US stock futures were stable ahead of the US consumer price index-based inflation report, which will indicate and dictate the interest rate path.

Treasury yields and the dollar eased.

US bond markets imply that investors are growing more optimistic that the escalating inflationary pressures this year will be contained.

A gauge for where markets estimate inflation to be, the so-called breakeven rates on Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) have decreased along with the cost of hedging high inflation.

Any potential upside surprise will likely see more volatility in rates,” Giulia Specchia, a macro strategist at UBS Group AG in Sydney, told Bloomberg. “We do expect the monthly pace of inflation to slow notably over the remainder of the year.”

Oil price declines have markets hopeful that US headline inflation will stabilise or slow, which is likely to ease the need for additional interest rate hikes in the future as currently feared based on the Federal Reserve’s rhetoric.

However, analysts caution that core inflation is expected to continue and that the consequences for rates in the near term are not clear.

“It’s too early to be celebrating the end of inflation, as some market participants seem already to be doing,” Rob Carnell, an Economist at ING, told Reuters.

Crude prices have fallen nearly a third since mid-June and back to levels before Russia invaded Ukraine late in February, trading below $100.



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Fed policy action, RBI rate decision key driving factors for mkts: Analysts



The US Fed policy action, RBI rate decision and foreign fund flows are some of the major factors that will guide the equity markets in the near-term, analysts said on Wednesday.


Besides these, September quarter earnings announcements would also pave the way for the markets, whose overall structure remains bullish, they added.


From its 52-week low of 50,921.22 quoted on June 17 this year, the Sensex has jumped 16.91 per cent till now. The Nifty has climbed 16.96 per cent from its 52-week low of 15,183.40 on June 17 this year.


So far in 2022, the BSE Sensex has climbed 2.20 per cent and the Nifty has advanced 2.33 per cent.


“We believe that the underlying market is bullish. Given India’s stance as a high-performing economy, there are many reasons for India to be an excellent performer as we advance,” said Sunil Damania, Chief Investment Officer, MarketsMojo.


He said the rupee has stabilized after hitting an all-time low level.


The rupee is currently hovering at 79.50 against the US dollar. It had touched an all-time low of 80.15 against the US dollar in intra-day trade on Monday.


“We are of the opinion that irrespective of whether the market touches a record high in September, market sentiments will stay bullish by Diwali,” Damania said, adding that the BSE benchmark Sensex and the NSE Nifty have picked up since mid-June 2022.


At the moment, investors might be skeptical of the current market rally, Damania said, adding that “We maintain the Sensex could touch 65,000 by December 2022, and our short-term Nifty target is 19,000 by December 2022.”

Factors that could influence the direction of global markets include geopolitical issues, commodity prices, inflationary trends, interest rate trajectory followed by central banks and recessionary conditions, experts said.


According to Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail Research, HDFC Securities, Indian markets could get impacted by the turn in global sentiments and as more investors turn risk averse ahead of the historically down month of September.


“However, the intensity and amount of fall in India will be limited as its economy may not be linked fully with the happenings in the US economy,” he noted.


From now till the end of the calendar year, Nifty could see an upside of 18,100 and downside of 15,850, Jasani added.


Reshma Banda, Head-Equity & Executive VP, Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance said Indian macroeconomic fundamentals are better placed on a relative basis.


Inflation in India is elevated and is only marginally higher than the RBI threshold band, which compares favorably to other developed countries where inflation is hovering at multi-decade highs, Banda said.


According to official figures, India’s retail inflation softened to 6.71 per cent in July due to moderation in food prices but remained above the Reserve Bank’s comfort level of 6 per cent for the seventh consecutive month.


Some of the other factors that can impact market sentiments include normal monsoon, which augurs well for controlling food inflation levels in the country.


Further, foreign fund inflows have returned to India, thereby aiding a healthy rally in the equity markets, experts said.


After turning net buyers last month, foreign investors have become aggressive shoppers of Indian equities and pumped in Rs 49,250 crore so far in August on improvement in corporate earnings and macro fundamentals.


Sunil Nyati, Managing Director, Swastika Investmart Ltd, said, Indian equity benchmark indices are witnessing profit-booking after a stellar rally of about 17 per cent from June lows.


Historically, September remains a weak or sideways month for Nifty and Sensex but in October month or near Diwali, Nifty and Sensex can approach their fresh all-time highs, Nyati added.


On the global front, the market will have an eye on economic data and geopolitical situations while on the domestic front, earnings, festive season demand, and FIIs’ behavior will be the key factors.


The Fed’s September policy action is the one significant factor the market will consider until Diwali.


The US Federal Bank chair Jerome Powell has indicated that the central bank will stick to a strategy of rate hikes to cool inflation.


Some experts believe the market is ready for aggressive rate hikes and most of this is already discounted whereas any relief on the inflation front may improve investor sentiments.

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)



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Mcap of seven of top-10 valued firms tumbles over Rs 1.54 trilion



Seven of the top-10 valued firms suffered a combined erosion of Rs 1,54,477.38 crore in market valuation last week, with IT majors Tata Consultancy Services and emerging as the biggest laggards.


Last week, the benchmark index tanked 812.28 points or 1.36 per cent.


Reliance Industries Limited, ICICI Bank and State Bank of India were the only gainers in the top-10 pack.


The market valuation of Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) plunged Rs 59,862.08 crore to Rs 11,78,818.29 crore.


The valuation of tanked Rs 31,789.31 crore to Rs 6,40,351.57 crore.


HDFC Bank’s valuation declined by Rs 16,090.67 crore to Rs 8,13,952.05 crore and that of Hindustan Unilever fell by Rs 14,814.18 crore to Rs 6,04,079.91 crore.


The market capitalisation (mcap) of Bajaj Finance declined by Rs 14,430.4 crore to Rs 4,27,605.59 crore and HDFC by Rs 13,031.62 crore to Rs 4,34,644.36 crore.


The valuation of Life Insurance Corporation (LIC) dipped Rs 4,459.12 crore to Rs 4,29,309.22 crore.


On the other hand, Reliance Industries added Rs 3,500.56 crore taking its valuation to Rs 17,71,645.33 crore.


The of State Bank of India jumped Rs 3,034.37 crore to Rs 4,67,471.16 crore and that of ICICI Bank climbed Rs 523.02 crore to Rs 6,06,330.11 crore.


Reliance Industries continued to rule the chart as the most valued firm, followed by TCS, HDFC Bank, Infosys, ICICI Bank, Hindustan Unilever, State Bank of India, HDFC, LIC and Bajaj Finance.

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

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Explained: What investors should look out for before putting money in an IPO


The sharp revival in equity markets has catalysed the primary markets, and as many as 27 companies have filed offer documents with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) over the last couple of months.

With foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) making a strong comeback — the benchmark Sensex has reclaimed the 60,000 mark — merchant bankers have lined up public issues to take advantage of bullish domestic retail and FPI investor sentiments. While there has been no new listing since May 24, the cycle is set to restart with the listing of Syrma SGS Technology later this month. The issue closed for subscription on Thursday. Many more are lined up — Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Fincare Small Finance Bank, and GO Digit General Insurance have filed their offer documents with SEBI.

How are the IPOs that came during the previous market boom faring?

2021 witnessed a record number of IPOs and fund-raising. While 63 companies came with public issues to raise funds amounting to a record Rs 118,723 crore from the equity markets in the calendar year, only 18 issues have hit the market in 2022. Collectively, they have raised Rs 40,310 crore — and half of this amount has come from just one issue: LIC.

A large number of public issues that hit the market amid soaring valuation in 2021 are now trading below their issue price. Data from NSE show that 27 of the 63 issues that hit the market in 2021 are trading below their issue price, including high-profile ones such as One 97 Communication (Paytm) and Zomato.

On the other hand, of the 16 issues that hit the market in calendar 2022 when the markets were less buoyant and the indices were on a decline, only four are trading below the issue price.

“We always witness a bunching-up of issues when the secondary market is buoyant. Most issues that come in times of sharp rally in the markets tend to be overpriced, and are susceptible to sharp declines when the market weakens. On the other hand, IPOs that come during normal times fare much better as they tend to be priced reasonably,” a fund manager who did not wish to be named, said.

So should you invest in this IPO rush?

The 18 per cent rally in the benchmark indices at the BSE and NSE since June 17, coming on the back of sharp FPI flows and a revival in investor sentiment, have encouraged merchant bankers to line up issues. For retail investors looking to play in the primary market, however, experts advise caution. They say that retail investors should seek out good-quality stocks from the bouquet of existing listed companies, and pick up the ones that are undervalued and not leveraged.

Several high-profile new age tech companies that came with their issues in 2021 are trading below their offer price — market participants say investors should be cautious, as there is a lot of irrationality around start-ups when there is liquidity in the market.

“When the market weakens, investor confidence in these companies gets shaken even on minor negative news flows. In the case of most of these companies where profitability is not visible for the next five years, it is very tough for an investor to stay invested when the market weakens, and so one has to be very careful about which company and at what valuation they are investing,” the head of research with financial services firm said.

What should you look for before investing in an IPO?

An IPO is an asset class that is a derivative of the secondary market, and its performance is linked to the sentiment in the broader market. Demand tends to be strong when investor sentiment is buoyant, and in such a scenario they get higher investor interest and fare well. However, that is not true for all cases; it also depends upon the pricing of the issue. Hence, investors need to do a thorough study of the company — the quality of promoters, business fundamentals, and the financial and peer review analysis — before investing in an IPO.

Corporate governance practices in the company should be given top priority. A good peer review is a must: Investors must study other listed companies in the sector and compare their growth, and their PE ratio (market price to earnings per share). If the company coming with an IPO is demanding a higher valuation, investors can consider avoiding it.





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Sensex, Nifty Open Higher Even As Global Stocks Drift On Recession Concerns


Stock Market India: Sensex, Nifty jump higher early on Tuesday

Equity benchmarks opened significantly higher even as Asian shares struggled for direction early on Tuesday, weighed by worries over global growth following weak China data that knocked oil prices and commodity-linked currencies.

The 30-share BSE Sensex index jumped 414.45 points, or 0.7 per cent, to 59,877.23 and the broader NSE Nifty index rose 112.65 points, or 0.64 per cent to 17,810.80.

Indian markets were shut on Monday as the nation celebrated its 75th anniversary of Independence, while the currency and debt markets remained closed on Tuesday on account of ‘Parsi New Year’.

Previously, both the benchmark bourses ended Friday on a high, extending gains for a fourth straight week and marking the longest winning streak since January, before data showed India’s consumer inflation dipped to 6.71 per cent in July, aided by a slower increase in food and fuel prices. 

Among the Nifty 50 companies, 40 were in the green and the rest 10 in the red, National Stock Exchange data showed.

Banking and auto stocks gained in India, with the Nifty Auto index up 1.1 per cent.

Shares of Life Insurance Corporation of India rose 2.5 per cent after the country’s biggest insurer posted a 20 per cent jump in June-quarter premium income on Friday.From the Sensex pack, Asian Paints, Mahindra & Mahindra, Nestle India, Axis Bank, IndusInd Bank, HDFC Bank and HDFC were the lead gainers. On the other hand, Bharti Airtel and Tata Steel were the laggards.

The benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty, have gained almost 11 per cent during the last four weeks cumulatively, recouping all of the losses they have sustained in 2022. The domestic equity markets had their best week in July since February 2021.

“Steady decline in retail inflation, Brent crude falling to $94 and steady buying by FIIs augur well for the markets. However, high valuations are a concern. While remaining invested, investors must exercise caution chasing this rally,” V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, told ANI.

A largely positive trend in global equities and foreign capital inflows have supported domestic equity markets.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net buyers in the Indian capital market as they purchased shares worth Rs 3,040.46 crore on Friday, according to the latest exchange data.

After falling on Monday, MSCI’s largest index of Asia-Pacific shares traded outside of Japan increased by 0.2 per cent. Although MSCI’s benchmark index has recovered 5 per cent from the year’s lows, it is still down 15 per cent for the year as a whole.

The disappointing Chinese activity statistics released on Monday, which covered industrial output and retail sales, dampened the mood just as investors were finding solace in a four-week surge in global stocks that sent markets to their best levels in more than three months.

Also, A further indication that the world’s largest economy is slowing due to the Federal Reserve raising interest rates is that both US single-family homebuilders’ confidence and New York state factory activity declined in August to their lowest levels since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“In short, the risks of a global recession are suddenly much clearer. Then again, they were ‘always’ clear to some,” Rabobank said in a note. “And does anyone think that a central-bank pivot will make them less likely at this stage?”

On Tuesday, the overall picture on Asian stock exchanges was mixed, with South Korean equities up 0.5 per cent while benchmarks in Tokyo and Taiwan barely changed.

After data revealed that economic activity and credit expansion both sharply slowed in July, China’s central bank surprisingly cut interest rates, sending Chinese markets higher. After falling on Monday, the CSI 300 index tacked on 0.1 per cent gains.

Major indexes on Wall Street rose on Monday, recovering losses from earlier in the session.

In anticipation of a slowing in US inflation that would decrease the rate at which the Fed raises interest rates, shares have increased for four consecutive weeks.

The first and second quarters of the US economy saw a contraction, escalating the ongoing discussion of whether or not the nation is currently experiencing a recession.

In Europe, concerns about growth also dominated the conversation.

A fragile demand outlook hit oil prices as they extended losses from the previous session.

Oil prices crashed further on Tuesday, extending losses from the previous session, after economic data from China, the world’s largest crude importer, spurred fresh concerns about a potential global recession that could hit energy demand.

Brent crude futures fell 90 cents, or 1 per cent, to $94.20 a barrel. WTI crude futures fell 81 cents, or 0.9 per cent, to $88.60 a barrel. Oil futures fell about 3 per cent during the previous session.

“Crude oil witnessed a sharp rebound in last few days but failed to hold on to the gains and set fresh February lows which shows that the bears are still in control. Growth worries and shaky risk sentiment amid tightening debate may keep pressure on prices,” said Ravindra Rao, Head of Commodity Research at Kotak Securities.

On Tuesday, the dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, held steady at 106.53, just below the previous session’s peak of 106.55, the strongest since Monday of last week.

The euro, the most heavily weighted currency in the dollar index, was flat at $1.0158 after earlier slipping to the weakest since August 5 at 1.0154.

The Australian dollar, a commodity-linked currency, fell as low as $0.70005, threatening to drop below the psychological 70 cent mark for the first time since Wednesday. New Zealand’s kiwi slipped to $0.6349, also the lowest since Wednesday.



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