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Equity investors turn richer by Rs 16.36 lakh crore in 2022


Dalal Street investors became richer by more than Rs 16.36 lakh crore this year as the equity market scaled new highs despite persistent geopolitical uncertainties and inflation worries.

Analysts attributed better macroeconomic fundamentals, the confidence of retail investors and foreign investors investing again in the domestic equities towards the latter half of 2022 as the key factors that led to the outperformance of the Indian market in comparison to many other stock markets worldwide.

During the initial part of the year, markets were jolted by the Russia-Ukraine war. On February 24, when Russia launched its attack on Ukraine, the 30-share BSE Sensex had plunged about 2,850 points before closing at 54,529.91 points, registering a massive fall of 2,702.15 points or 4.72 per cent.

In subsequent months, the key index recouped the lost ground and has climbed 2,880.06 points or 4.94 per cent this year till December 29.

Sensex touched its all-time high of 63,583.07 points on December 1 after hitting its 52-week low of 50,921.22 points on June 17.

“In 2022, the Indian stock market has gained despite challenges and heavy outflows from risk-averse foreign investors. Domestic institutional flows and resilient fundamentals have supported the market, though certain sectors and stocks have outperformed while others have underperformed.

“The market has demonstrated resilience in the face of geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices,” Suman Bannerjee, CIO of US-based hedge fund Hedonova, said.

The market capitalisation of BSE-listed firms has zoomed Rs 16,36,254.63 crore to Rs 2,82,36,466.18 crore till December 29 this year. On December 29, the Sensex closed at 61,133.88 points.

On December 5, the market capitalisation (m-cap) of BSE-listed firms reached an all-time high of Rs 290.46 lakh crore.

“The macroeconomics of India were in a far better shape than those of the majority of the international markets, which resulted in a notable outperformance of the Indian equity market. Retail investors have also shown great confidence in the Indian economy, where SIP flows have maintained record levels through 2022.

“Due to their feeling of exclusion and the fact that India offered the most stability, FIIs began investing in the Indian equity market in late 2022. All things considered, the market overcame every challenge and finished 2022 in a flat to positive range,” Santosh Meena, Head of Research at Swastika Investmart Ltd, said.

In 2022, five months saw Sensex making overall monthly gains while it was a fall in the remaining seven months.

July turned out to be the most rewarding month for equity investors as the BSE benchmark jumped 4,662.32 points or 8.81 per cent in that month.

“The roller coaster ride is coming to a satisfying end. Initially, 2022 appeared to be a flat year, but it is a good year for the Indian market. Our top indices were at lifetime highs while the majority of the global markets were trading close to their 52-week lows,” Meena said.

Dhiraj Relli, MD & CEO of HDFC Securities, said Indian markets in 2022 benefited out of better management of macros, including inflation management and corporate earnings, that did not disappoint majorly despite challenging times.

This year also saw the listing of LIC, which came out with the largest issue size of Rs 20,557 crore. The insurer, which was listed in May this year, commands a market valuation of Rs 4,32,440.09 crore.

At the close of trading on December 29, Reliance Industries Ltd was the country’s most valued firm with a market valuation of Rs 17,20,156.95 crore, followed by Tata Consultancy Services (Rs 11,96,235.37 crore), HDFC Bank (Rs 9,15,089.79 crore), Infosys (Rs 6,38,576.27 crore) and ICICI Bank (Rs 6,32,576.62 crore) in the top five.

In 2021, equity investors reaped handsome rewards as their wealth grew nearly Rs 78 lakh crore while Sensex gained 10,502.49 points or 21.99 per cent.

“Markets would be eager to start the new year on a positive note after ending December on the weaker side. Q3 results and the upcoming Union Budget could provide fresh positive triggers to the Indian equities,” Siddhartha Khemka, Head – Retail Research at Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd, said.





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Adani effect propels India stocks past most world markets in 2022


NEW DELHI: India is set to rank among this year’s best-performing major stock markets globally, overcoming concerns about higher interest rates and an economic slowdown that has mired peers.
The S&P BSE sensex Index is up 3% so far in 2022, the biggest gain in the world after measures in Singapore and Indonesia. A solid run of earnings buoyed key Indian benchmarks to record levels, making the market larger than the UK. Meanwhile, the MSCI All Country World Index has fallen 20%.
This year’s winners include shares linked to billionaire Gautam Adani and banks boosted by a sharp recovery in credit demand. Some of the biggest losers were shares of technology firms that languished following their public debuts and software outsourcing providers that faced concerns of a potential slump in overseas demand.
The outlook, however, is murkier. The market is seen to lose momentum next year amid elevated valuations, with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. calling an underperformance versus China and South Korea.
Slowing global growth may weigh on the country’s economy in the near term even as its “structural promise” remains a significant long-term attraction, JPMorgan analyst Sanjay Mookim wrote in a note this month.
Here’s a look at some of the most significant stock moves of 2022:
Adani firms
Adani’s ports-to-power conglomerate saw at least two of seven listed companies more than double in value this year, led by Adani Power as it benefited from a jump in demand for electricity.
Flagship Adani Enterprises has surged 113% after it became the second group firm to join the NSE Nifty 50 Index. The share price of Adani Wilmar, the group’s joint venture consumer food business, could gain another 24% from current levels, according to the 12-month consensus price target of analysts. Investors have sold off the group’s stocks of late amid steep valuations.
Bank recovery
The BSE Bankex has surged 18% this year on the sector’s successful resolution of sour debt, the creation of a bad bank to offload troubled loans and a sharp recovery in credit demand. Uday Kotak, the billionaire managing director of Kotak Mahindra Bank, called the rebound in banks a “Cinderella” moment.
Still, a worsening gap between deposit and credit growth is something to watch out for, according to Macquarie Capital analyst Suresh Ganapathy. State Bank of India, the nation’s largest lender, is up 25% this year and could gain by a similar magnitude over the next 12 months, analysts estimate.
IPO letdown
Lingering disappointment following big initial public offerings sent fintech firm Paytm and online insurance marketplace Policybazaar down more than 50% this year after their trading debuts toward the end of 2021.
Other decliners include delivery startup Zomato, the owner of beauty e-retailer Nykaa and logistics firm Delhivery. Life Insurance Corporation of India, which surpassed Paytm to become India’s biggest IPO, has lost more than a quarter of its value since May.

Software slump
Outsourcing providers were among the worst performers amid concerns over a possible recession in the US and Europe. Major firms — including Infosys and Tata Consultancy Services — slid, pushing the sectoral gauge toward its worst year since 2008. Big information technology services companies are bracing for a “longer winter ahead,” said JM Financial Institutional Securities analyst Abhishek Kumar.
Cheaper generics
Drug exporters such as Aurobindo Pharma and Divi’s Laboratories also took a hit as generic drug prices plunged in the US. Sampath Reddy, the chief investment officer at Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Co., said drugmakers may focus on profitable complex generics in response to lower prices abroad.





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Explained: What investors should look out for before putting money in an IPO


The sharp revival in equity markets has catalysed the primary markets, and as many as 27 companies have filed offer documents with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) over the last couple of months.

With foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) making a strong comeback — the benchmark Sensex has reclaimed the 60,000 mark — merchant bankers have lined up public issues to take advantage of bullish domestic retail and FPI investor sentiments. While there has been no new listing since May 24, the cycle is set to restart with the listing of Syrma SGS Technology later this month. The issue closed for subscription on Thursday. Many more are lined up — Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Fincare Small Finance Bank, and GO Digit General Insurance have filed their offer documents with SEBI.

How are the IPOs that came during the previous market boom faring?

2021 witnessed a record number of IPOs and fund-raising. While 63 companies came with public issues to raise funds amounting to a record Rs 118,723 crore from the equity markets in the calendar year, only 18 issues have hit the market in 2022. Collectively, they have raised Rs 40,310 crore — and half of this amount has come from just one issue: LIC.

A large number of public issues that hit the market amid soaring valuation in 2021 are now trading below their issue price. Data from NSE show that 27 of the 63 issues that hit the market in 2021 are trading below their issue price, including high-profile ones such as One 97 Communication (Paytm) and Zomato.

On the other hand, of the 16 issues that hit the market in calendar 2022 when the markets were less buoyant and the indices were on a decline, only four are trading below the issue price.

“We always witness a bunching-up of issues when the secondary market is buoyant. Most issues that come in times of sharp rally in the markets tend to be overpriced, and are susceptible to sharp declines when the market weakens. On the other hand, IPOs that come during normal times fare much better as they tend to be priced reasonably,” a fund manager who did not wish to be named, said.

So should you invest in this IPO rush?

The 18 per cent rally in the benchmark indices at the BSE and NSE since June 17, coming on the back of sharp FPI flows and a revival in investor sentiment, have encouraged merchant bankers to line up issues. For retail investors looking to play in the primary market, however, experts advise caution. They say that retail investors should seek out good-quality stocks from the bouquet of existing listed companies, and pick up the ones that are undervalued and not leveraged.

Several high-profile new age tech companies that came with their issues in 2021 are trading below their offer price — market participants say investors should be cautious, as there is a lot of irrationality around start-ups when there is liquidity in the market.

“When the market weakens, investor confidence in these companies gets shaken even on minor negative news flows. In the case of most of these companies where profitability is not visible for the next five years, it is very tough for an investor to stay invested when the market weakens, and so one has to be very careful about which company and at what valuation they are investing,” the head of research with financial services firm said.

What should you look for before investing in an IPO?

An IPO is an asset class that is a derivative of the secondary market, and its performance is linked to the sentiment in the broader market. Demand tends to be strong when investor sentiment is buoyant, and in such a scenario they get higher investor interest and fare well. However, that is not true for all cases; it also depends upon the pricing of the issue. Hence, investors need to do a thorough study of the company — the quality of promoters, business fundamentals, and the financial and peer review analysis — before investing in an IPO.

Corporate governance practices in the company should be given top priority. A good peer review is a must: Investors must study other listed companies in the sector and compare their growth, and their PE ratio (market price to earnings per share). If the company coming with an IPO is demanding a higher valuation, investors can consider avoiding it.





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‘Counterbalancing’ in Indian markets: Domestic investors buy as FPIs sell


As FPIs continued to pull out funds from Indian equities in the quarter ended June 2022 amid rising inflation, interest rates and concerns over global growth, their share in NSE-listed companies fell to a 10-year low of 19.2 per cent.

In the same period, however, domestic institutional investors (DIIs), who continued to invest in Indian markets, raised their holding of Indian equities to an all-time high of 14.06 per cent.

According to data collated by primeinfobase.com the domestic retail holding (individuals holding up to Rs 2 lakh) also stood strong in April-June despite the Sensex witnessing a fall of nearly 15 per cent in the quarter from its closing on March 31, 2022. The retail share in National Stock Exchange (NSE)-listed entities stood at 7.4 per cent at the end of June, marginally lower over its highest share of 7.42 per cent seen in the quarter ended March.

“This further showcases the rise of domestic investors and the huge counterbalancing role they have played to foreign investors. To also put this in perspective, as on March 31, 2015, FPI share was 23.30 per cent while the combined share of DII, retail and HNI was just 18.47 per cent. The combined share of DII, retail and HNI now stands at an all-time high of 23.53 per cent,” said Pranav Haldea, managing director, PRIME Database Group.

During the quarter, while net outflows from FPIs stood at Rs 1,07,340 crore, net inflows from DIIs amounted to Rs 1,28,277 crore. The data shows that the gap between FPI and DII holding decreased to its lowest level in this quarter as DII holding is now just 26.77 per cent lower than FPI holding. (On March 31, 2022, DII holding was 31.99 per cent lower than FPI holding).

The FPI to DII ownership ratio too fell to a new low of 1.37 as on June 30, from 1.47 as on March 31. Over a 13-year period (starting June 2009), while FPI share has increased from 16.02 per cent to 19.2 per cent, DII share has risen from 11.38 per cent to 14.06 per cent.

The share of domestic mutual funds in companies listed on the NSE rose for the fourth quarter running and reached a 2-year high of 7.95 per cent as on June 30, 2022, up from 7.75 per cent as on March 31, 2022. This was after five quarters of consecutive decline from March 31, 2020 (7.96 per cent) to June 30, 2021 (7.25 per cent). The share has grown on the back of net inflows by domestic mutual funds of Rs 73,857 crore in the June quarter.

LIC’s share (across 286 companies where its holding is more than 1 per cent) rose to 3.92 per cent as on June 30, 2022 from 3.83 per cent as on March 31, 2022. Share of high net worth individuals (HNIs) (individuals with more than Rs 2 lakh shareholding in a company) in NSE-listed companies also declined to 2.08 per cent as on June 30 from 2.21 per cent on March 31.

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While disclosure of holdings of FPIs by name is available only for holdings in a company greater than 1 per cent, Haldea said it is time for complete details of all their holdings to be made mandatory to be disclosed in India.

The share of the government (as promoter) in companies listed on the NSE saw a huge spike and reached 7.15 per cent as on June 30, from 5.48 per cent as on March 31. According to Haldea, this was primarily on account of the mega IPO of LIC.

The share of private promoters in NSE-listed companies declined to 44.33 per cent as on June 30, from 45.12 per cent on March 31.





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Mortgage
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Financial service company
Mortgage rate
Quicken loans
Life insurance
Mortgage payment calculator
Payday loans
Investment planning
Personal loan
Finance
Investment plan
Retirement accounts
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Google finance
Nerd wallet
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Buy
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Wall street
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#saurabhmukherjea
#topstock

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